Skip to main content

Is McCain Winning?

A new popularity poll is out with McCain surging ahead of Obama for the first time.

http://news.aol.com/elections/article/mccain-moves-ahead-of-obama-poll-says/163776?icid=100214839x1208881405x1200534753

First, don't believe the hype. We all know that "surges" don't mean squat. McCain has about as much chance winning the election as his wife does being caught shopping at Walmart for dresses. It just ain't gonna happen.

Second, pay more attention to the individual state races. According the Electoral College race projections, nothing has really changed. Obama still has a comfortable lead where it counts, and unless McCain can turn a bunch of states, such as Minnesota, Michigan, etc., he doesn't have a prayer.

Third, people will soon get over the Palin surprise. McCain picked Palin from a position of weakness, and this pick will end up backfiring. Trust me on this. Yes, I'm still concerned that people will think she's cute and will therefore ignore what comes out of her mouth, but in the end, I don't think even her cuteness will save her.

One thing that does worry me: McCain knows how to go on the attack. Obama doesn't play that game. If Obama does happen to lose this election, it will be because McCain wrestled away the "Change" motto and appropriated it for his own campaign. Nevertheless, I still have faith in the Electoral College map. Does McCain have a shot? Sure, but in the end, he's going to end up looking more like Goldwater than Reagan on election night.

Comments

  1. Cute? Maybe. She also seems pretty sharp. We shall see. McCain like Goldwater? It is to be devoutly hoped that he may be.

    BTW,I will not be offended if this is not "approved", since it is your blog to use as you will.

    ReplyDelete

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

Microblogging? The Future of Writing with ADHD

Bill Bennett is a very common name. Right now, I'm reading a book by the Australian film maker Bill Bennett. He hiked the Camino in 2013 and then wrote a book (and made an Australian movie, not available in the U.S.) about it.  Seems he kept a blog about that hike, too. I went to look for his Camino blog, and found he started one years after the hike, but he didn't post regularly... His last post from 2022 announced his had Parkinson's and had kept the diagnosis secret for 4 years.  Now that almost three years have passed from that post, I wonder what's happened to him.  Blogs are weird. They just sit there. Anyone can stumble upon them, and read them. So I decided to keep looking for his Camino blog.  https://billbennett.blog/home/ *** And I found another Bill Bennett, this one from New Zealand, who keeps a microblog. It's current and updated. "What's a microblog?" My wife asked. Well, I said, it's a small blog. Just a sentence or two for a post. ...

Jesus and the Inconvenience of His Word to American Christians

I'm not a preacher, but if you follow the teachings of Jesus, it was he who said: Do to others as you would have them do to you. That's from Luke 6:31 , and reading all of Luke 6 isn't a bad way to spend five minutes of your time.  https://www.biblegateway.com/passage/?search=luke%206&version=NIV I guess a lot of Christians understand the Golden Rule and practice it in their daily lives. Others, however, especially political Christians (and specifically those promoting Christian Nationalism) seem to ignore the Golden Rule. They don't care about humanitarian issues. They claim they either don't exist, aren't the problem of the United States, or are the fault of the victims. They counter with distractions like, "Why do you care so much about THEM when you should be caring about the REAL people who matter?" Sorry, but I don't recall Jesus ever dividing people into those who matter more and those who matter less. Of course, Jesus also said not to j...